Something to Ponder Whilst on the Poo-er

Building on the ‘Something to Ponder Whilst on the Poo-er’ series, I proudly present CubicleGM’s first non-baseball themed discussion. While your moderator’s, Maurice, Carl, and Vince, have a special love for baseball, we appreciate and follow all sports, and will certainly cover most of them here, in due time. Today’s thought: Big Media (namely, ESPN) given a ton of air time to Bubble Teams, the last four in, the last four out, etc. Does it really matter? Do these teams actually make an impact on the tournament, and more importantly on our brackets?

I took a look at these teams (at-large selections, seeded 11th and higher) over the last 5 tournaments.  There have been 21 such teams over the last 5 tourneys.  6 have one at least one game – 28.5%, or a little less than 1 in 3.  See full chart at bottom for team’s, year’s and wins.

Of those 6 however, 2 ended their runs in the sweet 16 (Villanova – 2008, Bradley – 2006), and everyone’s sweet heart George Mason made it all the way to the Final Four in 2006.

This year it seems the conversation has centered around whether those last few spots should have been given to Mid Major bubble teams, rather than Power Conference squads, such as Arizona.  Of the 21 teams,  9 have come from Power Conferences (Big 12, Big 12, ACC, Big East, PAC 10, SEC), while 12 have come from the smaller conferences – pretty even.  The Power Conferences account for 3 of the 6 teams to move on, as do the non-Powers, though Bradley and George Mason above account for most of the success.

Excluding the once-in-25 -years oddity that is George Mason, these teams are pretty unconsequential.  They may sneak into the sweet 16 every few years, but are more of a tool for ESPN to fill airtime and create controversy than meaningfully impact the tourney.

Year Team Wins Major Conference
2008 Saint Joe’s
2008 Baylor Yes
2008 Kansas State 1 Yes
2008 Villanova 2 Yes
2008 Kentucky Yes
2007 ODU
2007 Arkansas Yes
2007 Stanford Yes
2007 Illinois Yes
2006 Texas A&M 1 Yes
2006 Bradley 2
2006 George Mason 4
2006 Utah State
2006 Air Force
2005 UAB 1
2005 UCLA Yes
2005 Northern Iowa
2004 Richmond
2004 Air Force
2004 BYU
2004 UTEP

One Comment

  1. [...] up on my pre-tournament post regarding the performance of Bubble Teams over the past 5 years, I thought it would be fun to look at how this year’s crop did.  Again, I defined a Bubble [...]

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